Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.663704 0.855129 1.071073 1.329753 1.628260 1.959116 2.350710
2025-05-11 0.378315 0.605718 0.897890 1.287061 1.778378 2.365400 3.106911
2025-05-18 0.227153 0.459606 0.799909 1.298804 1.977472 2.836995 3.975827
2025-05-25 0.124578 0.334258 0.689125 1.261773 2.096605 3.209219 4.743494
2025-06-01 0.079503 0.279458 0.663706 1.332883 2.359957 3.779183 5.790570
2025-06-08 0.043773 0.217840 0.605710 1.338134 2.521733 4.215197 6.677540
2025-06-15 0.028519 0.193387 0.606912 1.435555 2.823658 4.856948 7.863826
2025-06-22 0.016452 0.164681 0.589266 1.494276 3.065608 5.420406 8.959342
2025-06-29 0.008058 0.135077 0.558356 1.521118 3.254121 5.909968 9.963876
2025-07-06 0.002607 0.101485 0.502795 1.488931 3.338196 6.243114 10.752618
2025-07-13 0.000759 0.082421 0.477315 1.510777 3.511586 6.714060 11.748493
2025-07-20 0.000105 0.066110 0.451601 1.526285 3.671874 7.167402 12.727337
2025-07-27 NaN 0.046273 0.401575 1.480706 3.722717 7.457983 13.486662
2025-08-03 NaN 0.030565 0.352580 1.426288 3.750773 7.711565 14.197288
2025-08-10 NaN 0.022641 0.330907 1.434519 3.896340 8.158709 15.209254
2025-08-17 NaN 0.014209 0.293576 1.392662 3.939269 8.436711 15.968885
2025-08-24 NaN 0.012325 0.298094 1.467524 4.218920 9.116351 17.358405
2025-08-31 NaN 0.008485 0.279804 1.472523 4.355734 9.558619 18.388783
2025-09-07 NaN 0.008055 0.293584 1.576140 4.701328 10.363420 19.996377
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006626 0.294093 1.638542 4.963065 11.030482 21.398997
2025-09-21 NaN 0.004777 0.284471 1.667037 5.153944 11.579758 22.625328
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002540 0.257519 1.632714 5.207047 11.890695 23.480294
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001625 0.248166 1.655956 5.385713 12.423926 24.694744